Weather forecast accuracy details for Topeka, Kansas

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (June)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   78.57% 83.33% 85.71% 85.71% 83.33%
Foreca   82.14% 84.52% 75.00% 75.00% 79.17%
AerisWeather   83.33% 83.33% 73.81% 73.81% 78.57%
Microsoft   75.31% 79.52% 76.54% 76.54% 76.98%
Weatherbit   78.48% 72.50% 71.43% 71.43% 73.46%
Wetter.com   63.10% 65.48% 86.67% 71.43% 71.67%
Pirate Weather   82.72% 53.09% 77.78% 72.84% 71.60%
NWS Digital Forecast   75.90% 78.31% 60.24% 60.24% 68.67%
Open-Meteo   69.05% 67.86% 67.86% 67.86% 68.15%
OpenWeather   53.57% 60.71% 71.43% 71.43% 64.29%
World Weather Online   42.86% 57.14% 64.29% 64.29% 57.14%
Persistence   48.21% 40.00% 42.86% 42.86% 43.48%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2024)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   79.07% 75.97% 89.46% 89.46% 83.49%
Microsoft   79.30% 75.54% 87.32% 88.41% 82.64%
Foreca   70.93% 73.74% 87.75% 87.75% 80.04%
AccuWeather   75.22% 74.51% 83.82% 83.91% 79.36%
AerisWeather   72.87% 70.74% 85.85% 85.85% 78.83%
Weatherbit   73.21% 68.99% 84.33% 84.33% 77.71%
NWS Digital Forecast   70.55% 68.96% 81.36% 81.36% 75.56%
Pirate Weather   65.79% 37.02% 86.04% 86.04% 68.72%
Open-Meteo   55.62% 49.61% 84.71% 84.71% 68.66%
Wetter.com   54.84% 45.83% 77.21% 77.11% 63.75%
OpenWeather   48.35% 36.72% 84.52% 84.52% 63.53%
World Weather Online   45.74% 47.58% 79.30% 79.30% 62.98%
Persistence   31.33% 26.76% 64.95% 64.95% 47.00%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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